According to the Art Market Poll Center, between 2008 and 2009, most of the art market specialties have collapse. But each specialty has suffered of a different level of decrease depending on two major ideas: are the artworks antiques or contemporary? Are the client collectors or investors?
Between 2008 and 2009, before and after the global financial crisis, all the art market can be divided in three groups.
The first one has largely suffered of a major decrease in both prices and buying intentions rates. The related specialties are mostly contemporary art. Between 2008 and 2009, the global market for contemporary art lost 23.63% in value and buying intentions. Traditionally, this market is much more subject to speculation than the other fields of the art market; the few real collectors can't support the market and all the investors polluting this market's health.
The second one has less suffered from the crisis. The related specialties are mostly Old Masters and 19th Century fine arts. Between 2008 and 2009, the global market for Old Masters lost less than 11% in value and buying intentions. The Old Masters market is more run by collectors than speculators; therefore a collector doesn't sell its collection at the first sight of a collapse in prices. So Old Masters are more stable since the clients are either less reactive than contemporary art ones, or they are simply following a different collecting logic.
The last one hasn't suffered from the crisis. The related specialties are niche markets such as stamps, coins, antique weapons and books. Between 2008 and 2009, the global market for "collection items" lost 1.6% in value and buying intentions. These fields are perfect examples of specialties totally disconnected from the financial market, and run buy pure collectors.
As an investor you are looking for a sure value? First focus on the buying motivations of the collectors and you will find your way.
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Comments
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Jacques Marchand (décorateur à Lille) (2010-12-09)
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Cher Boyzy, pour répondre à votre question, l'art déco est typiquement une catégorie du marché de l'art à la fois hyper recherchées et très sures si on s'en tient aux tendances générales rapportées par les commissaires priseurs et les différents outils qui fleurissent sur Internet. La vrai question est de savoir pendant combien de temps cette association est-elle possible? Le mobilier Louis XV et Louis XVI fûrent très à la mode et considérés comme un placement de bon père de famille, et cela a bien changé. Pour combien de temps encore les meubles art déco susciteront-ils encore l'intérêt du grand public et des collectionneurs, nul ne le sait.
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jka@antiquesmall.com (2010-12-09)
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Antiques do have potential as a worthwhile investment for those who know what they are doing, and can be a fickle creature for all the others. Art and antiques should be purchased for passion first and financial gain second. So if you don't have the passion, either invest in stock, or start by reading books and educate yourself. As experts use to say, investors who take the time to educate themselves about one or more areas of the antiques market are more likely to realize returns.
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Boyzy (2010-12-08)
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Element intéressant dans ce tableau c'est de voir aussi que ce sont les spécialités les plus "à la mode" ou en tout cas qui recoivent le plus d'intentions d'achat qui sont les plus sujets aux fluctuations de la bourse et des crises diverses. On voit dans le tableau que l'art contemporain est le plus spéculatif et pourtant le plus recherché (moyenne à 36.83%) alors que les timbres qui sont dites "valeurs sures" sont visiblement peu recherchées (moyenne à 4.93%). Il y a-t-il des valeurs sures hyper recherchées? J'en doute!
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JerryO99 (2010-12-08)
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There is a difference between a sure investment, a good investment and a good sure investment. Antiques are sure investments since they don't really loose their value. Modern and contemporary art are more speculative and can therefore be good investments. About good sure investments, no one has the magic formula.

















